Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 420.156747 477.121533 540.236408 615.570505 703.325957 802.660719 924.090859
2026-01-04 345.611761 423.227746 517.100730 639.936832 797.810970 995.759774 1265.680469
2026-01-11 296.678905 381.661698 490.566226 642.185678 850.710838 1131.706703 1546.380784
2026-01-18 256.301036 342.511467 458.076681 627.047126 872.420060 1223.105845 1775.824390
2026-01-25 226.205213 312.085251 431.659135 613.953273 891.411882 1308.943550 2006.786900
2026-02-01 210.628569 299.406261 427.513273 630.751382 954.424323 1466.666487 2374.130441
2026-02-08 193.192147 281.721709 413.454535 629.793858 988.299833 1581.622195 2689.351031
2026-02-15 177.125043 264.208308 397.384154 622.996182 1010.603271 1678.968772 2989.230267
2026-02-22 165.819319 252.766957 389.281290 627.623710 1051.815423 1813.561966 3381.726161
2026-03-01 152.917820 237.509562 373.391812 616.961955 1064.158354 1896.754172 3687.991190
2026-03-08 142.616212 225.502879 361.587121 611.790207 1085.259139 1998.535159 4051.102952
2026-03-15 130.100189 208.764552 340.270862 587.217645 1066.508365 2019.081614 4241.364483
2026-03-22 125.845637 205.797142 342.606460 606.653706 1136.391984 2231.607484 4917.153121
2026-03-29 122.624612 204.331484 347.426890 631.309457 1220.247616 2487.961157 5761.047463
2026-04-05 116.442885 197.090604 341.098177 633.483256 1257.549798 2648.080196 6402.551624
2026-04-12 108.554485 186.156184 326.995744 618.583548 1256.137186 2719.296797 6825.693704
2026-04-19 101.651727 176.516082 314.526637 605.693471 1257.416790 2796.956217 7286.178675
2026-04-26 98.887421 174.347357 316.127206 622.229880 1327.457452 3054.312819 8337.727378
2026-05-03 94.317463 168.416569 309.876596 621.287303 1356.538640 3213.096780 9134.735156
2026-05-10 89.486207 161.642167 301.404186 614.595638 1370.897215 3335.749313 9851.781414
2026-05-17 86.186393 157.616175 298.143203 619.151018 1413.523094 3542.562025 10913.934190
2026-05-24 81.642429 150.827153 288.692438 608.655366 1416.704363 3639.602071 11621.610500
2026-05-31 77.935838 145.479373 281.853125 603.564030 1433.297565 3778.671915 12529.541384